Analyst Report: Oracle Corp.

Oracle’s Cloud Boom: Why Record Revenue Growth Is Causing a Stock Market Jolt

When a technology giant reports an earnings per share number that crushes analyst expectations, the stock price usually soars. But for Oracle Corporation, the recent post-earnings reality has been a bit more complicated. Despite showcasing phenomenal growth in its pivot to the cloud, the market reacted with a heavy dose of skepticism, sending the stock tumbling in the days following its second-quarter fiscal year 2026 report.

So, what exactly happened? The headline numbers were strong. The company reported $2.26 in non-GAAP earnings per share, which easily surpassed the forecast. Total revenue also climbed to $16.1 billion, marking a solid 13% increase from the prior year. More importantly, Oracle’s strategic shift to cloud computing is clearly paying off. Its total cloud revenue surged by 33% year-over-year to $8 billion, now accounting for a full half of the company’s total sales. The underlying engine, the Oracle Cloud Infrastructure or OCI, saw even more explosive growth, with its GPU-related cloud revenue skyrocketing 177% as clients rush to secure capacity for artificial intelligence workloads.

The long-term picture is even more compelling. Oracle announced that its Remaining Performance Obligations, essentially its contractual backlog, ballooned to a record $523.3 billion. That massive number, which represents future contracted revenue, is up over 400% from last year and includes blockbuster deals with major players like Meta and Nvidia. In short, Oracle has positioned itself as an essential player in the high-stakes AI infrastructure race.

However, the market’s unease centers on the steep cost of this dramatic transformation. The company’s revenue, though up significantly, just barely missed the consensus analyst forecast. The real concern, however, was the aggressive increase in spending. Oracle raised its full-year capital expenditure guidance to an eye-watering $50 billion, far more than previously expected. These funds are being poured into a massive, debt-fueled global buildout of new data centers to meet the insatiable demand for AI cloud capacity. This rapid, expensive expansion resulted in negative free cash flow, raising concerns among investors about the near-term financial implications and the pace of capacity delivery.

This reaction highlights a clear difference in perspective. Management and long-term analysts view the massive spending as a necessary, forward-looking investment to capitalize on the multi-trillion dollar AI opportunity. They see Oracle transforming from a legacy database software provider into a formidable infrastructure behemoth, essentially becoming an indispensable utility for the next generation of computing. Indeed, the general consensus among Wall Street analysts remains a “Moderate Buy,” with an average price target that suggests a major rebound from current trading levels.

For the enterprise technology world, the message is clear: the AI boom is real, and companies like Oracle are spending big to build the digital foundation for it. While the stock’s volatile reaction suggests some investors want to see the capacity translate into revenue faster, the commitment to expansion and the tremendous $523 billion backlog point to a powerful, albeit costly, long-term trajectory.

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